Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.0%
Pau FC
21.5%
Draw
24.5%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Pau FC
vs
1.11
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
0-0
4.7%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).