Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.7%
Nott'm Forest
29.9%
Draw
35.3%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.30
Leeds
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-0
7.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).