Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Leverkusen
23.7%
Draw
35.6%
FC Koln
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
Leverkusen
vs
1.68
FC Koln
Markets
BTTS68.8%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-0
4.8%
0-1
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).