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01 Oct 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.2%
KFUM
28.9%
Draw
23.9%
Fredrikstad

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

KFUM

vs
0.81

Fredrikstad

Markets

BTTS39.5%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.1%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).