Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Eastleigh
24.7%
Draw
23.1%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Eastleigh
vs
1.15
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).