Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Man United
17.2%
Draw
31.9%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91
Man United
vs
2.34
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS85.3%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.596.6%
Over 2.589.5%
Over 3.576.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
6.1%
3-2
5.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-3
4.8%
3-3
4.6%
4-2
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
1-1
3.5%
4-3
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).