Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.8%
St Etienne
15.0%
Draw
68.2%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
St Etienne
vs
3.09
Marseille
Markets
BTTS75.3%
Over 0.599.2%
Over 1.594.5%
Over 2.584.2%
Over 3.568.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5.7%
1-4
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-4
4.4%
0-4
3.6%
2-1
3.6%
1-5
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).