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13 Feb 2022 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.0%
Eibar
25.9%
Draw
17.1%
Fuenlabrada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.50

Eibar

vs
0.69

Fuenlabrada

Markets

BTTS38.6%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.9%
2-0
12.6%
1-1
11.4%
0-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).