Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Lech Poznań
24.2%
Draw
24.7%
Katowice
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Lech Poznań
vs
1.27
Katowice
Markets
BTTS61.9%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-0
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
0-1
4.5%
3-2
3.8%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).