Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
Logrones
31.1%
Draw
45.3%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73
Logrones
vs
1.13
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.584.5%
Over 1.555.2%
Over 2.528.4%
Over 3.511.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.8%
0-0
15.5%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).