Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
La Coruna
22.7%
Draw
19.7%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81
La Coruna
vs
0.95
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.7%
0-2
2.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).