Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.2%
Milan
17.4%
Draw
8.4%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Milan
vs
0.55
Empoli
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.6%
1-0
14.8%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-1
7.9%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
5.8%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-0
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).