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26 Sept 2020 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.6%
Beerschot VA
23.9%
Draw
27.6%
Waasland-Beveren

Expected Goals (xG)

1.85

Beerschot VA

vs
1.35

Waasland-Beveren

Markets

BTTS63.1%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.6%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).