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AHT: 01

23 Apr 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.9%
Häcken
26.9%
Draw
27.2%
Degerfors

Expected Goals (xG)

1.63

Häcken

vs
1.21

Degerfors

Markets

BTTS57.8%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).