Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Guimaraes
21.3%
Draw
22.3%
Arouca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Guimaraes
vs
1.12
Arouca
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
4.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).