Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Fylde
26.9%
Draw
44.0%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Fylde
vs
1.56
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).