Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.8%
Colchester
23.5%
Draw
13.7%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Colchester
vs
0.59
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
2-0
14.4%
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).