Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.4%
Orenburg
26.0%
Draw
42.6%
Lokomotiv Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Orenburg
vs
1.70
Lokomotiv Moskva
Markets
BTTS63.6%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
0-1
6.1%
0-0
5.6%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).