Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.9%
Sociedad
20.6%
Draw
19.6%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.08
Sociedad
vs
1.10
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
0-1
4.7%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).