Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.8%
Benfica
20.8%
Draw
11.4%
Gil Vicente
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Benfica
vs
0.74
Gil Vicente
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).