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13 Dec 2024 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.6%
Kasımpaşa
36.2%
Draw
28.2%
Eyupspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Kasımpaşa

vs
1.00

Eyupspor

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.8%
0-0
15.1%
1-0
10.0%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).