Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Aris
20.5%
Draw
16.3%
Strasbourg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Aris
vs
0.88
Strasbourg
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).