Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.4%
Manchester City
23.5%
Draw
65.2%
Walsall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Manchester City
vs
1.61
Walsall
Markets
BTTS30.9%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.9%
0-2
15.8%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
9.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
0-4
3.4%
2-1
2.4%
2-2
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).