Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.0%
Schalke 04
26.1%
Draw
47.9%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Schalke 04
vs
1.65
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS56.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).