Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.9%
Lille
24.8%
Draw
36.3%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Lille
vs
1.36
Lyon
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).