Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Dundee United
22.4%
Draw
21.9%
Kilmarnock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Dundee United
vs
1.21
Kilmarnock
Markets
BTTS61.3%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
0-0
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).