Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.3%
Truro
21.9%
Draw
68.8%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56
Truro
vs
1.90
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS37.1%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
0-2
15.5%
1-1
9.8%
0-3
9.8%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
1-3
5.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).