Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Greuther Furth
26.7%
Draw
53.5%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Greuther Furth
vs
1.61
Mainz
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
6.4%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).