Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Arbroath
29.6%
Draw
29.9%
Stenhousemuir
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Arbroath
vs
1.06
Stenhousemuir
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.4%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).