Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Barnsley
21.0%
Draw
24.4%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Barnsley
vs
1.15
Wigan
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
3.5%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).