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AHT: 02CSV

12 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.7%
Sochaux
33.5%
Draw
38.8%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Sochaux

vs
0.88

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS28.1%
Over 0.580.2%
Over 1.545.5%
Over 2.520.9%
Over 3.57.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
19.8%
0-1
19.4%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
0-3
2.4%
2-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
3-0
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).