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AHT: 01CSV

01 Nov 2022 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.2%
Zaragoza
29.2%
Draw
33.6%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Zaragoza

vs
1.04

Andorra

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.3%
1-0
13.0%
0-1
12.2%
0-0
11.4%
2-1
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).