⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 01CSV

16 Feb 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
72.0%
Frosinone
18.8%
Draw
9.2%
Reggiana

Expected Goals (xG)

2.27

Frosinone

vs
0.71

Reggiana

Markets

BTTS46.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.9%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
0-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).