Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Troyes
30.4%
Draw
19.1%
Bastia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Troyes
vs
0.56
Bastia
Markets
BTTS27.8%
Over 0.582.3%
Over 1.549.0%
Over 2.523.7%
Over 3.59.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.9%
0-0
17.7%
2-0
11.8%
0-1
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-0
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
0-2
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).