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AHT: 01CSV

30 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.1%
Darmstadt
28.8%
Draw
43.1%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Darmstadt

vs
1.39

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
0-2
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).