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AHT: 01CSV

22 Apr 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.6%
Pau FC
22.7%
Draw
39.7%
Sochaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Pau FC

vs
1.50

Sochaux

Markets

BTTS58.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
0-1
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
0-0
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).