Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.5%
Bochum
26.5%
Draw
40.0%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Bochum
vs
1.57
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).