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27 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.4%
St Johnstone
25.8%
Draw
54.7%
Hibernian

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

St Johnstone

vs
1.67

Hibernian

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
0-1
12.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
1-0
6.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).