Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Tranmere
21.1%
Draw
58.4%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Tranmere
vs
1.91
Notts County
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.5%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
2-3
3.3%
1-4
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).