Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Sociedad
26.1%
Draw
33.7%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Sociedad
vs
1.32
Celta
Markets
BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).