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16 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.7%
Kidsgrove Athletic
29.9%
Draw
34.4%
Sittingbourne

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Kidsgrove Athletic

vs
0.99

Sittingbourne

Markets

BTTS39.7%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.5%
Over 3.514.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.1%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).