Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →94.9%
Inter
3.6%
Draw
1.5%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
4.63
Inter
vs
0.64
Crotone
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.596.7%
Over 2.589.6%
Over 3.577.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
4-0
9.9%
5-0
9.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-1
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
2.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-2
1.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).