Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.3%
Rotherham
28.4%
Draw
55.4%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
0.67
Rotherham
vs
1.46
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-0
12.7%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).