Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.1%
Tranmere
21.6%
Draw
52.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Tranmere
vs
1.90
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS61.0%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
0-3
4.7%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.7%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).