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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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65.5%
Thame
17.3%
Draw
17.2%
Tipton Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.50

Thame

vs
1.23

Tipton Town

Markets

BTTS64.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.551.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
1-1
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
4-1
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
4-0
3.9%
0-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).