Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.7%
Bournemouth
14.6%
Draw
5.7%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.72
Bournemouth
vs
0.66
Southampton
Markets
BTTS45.9%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
3-0
11.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
4-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
1-1
7.0%
4-1
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
5-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).