Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Watford
32.1%
Draw
21.4%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Watford
vs
0.81
Norwich
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
1-0
13.9%
0-0
13.7%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).