Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Aldershot
22.5%
Draw
59.9%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Aldershot
vs
2.05
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.6%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.5%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
1-0
3.9%
2-3
3.5%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).