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13 Apr 2021 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.7%
AFC Wimbledon
18.1%
Draw
69.2%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

0.71

AFC Wimbledon

vs
2.04

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.0%
1-1
8.5%
1-3
6.4%
0-0
5.6%
1-0
5.3%
0-4
4.6%
2-2
3.4%
2-1
3.3%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).