Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.1%
Jagiellonia Białystok
16.4%
Draw
10.5%
Puszcza Niepołomice
Expected Goals (xG)
2.67
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
0.96
Puszcza Niepołomice
Markets
BTTS58.0%
Over 0.596.8%
Over 1.588.3%
Over 2.570.3%
Over 3.549.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
0-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).